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Australia’s economic prosperity can be sustained with focus and reform
Australia’s economic prosperity can be sustained with focus and reform
Posted : Wednesday, July 25, 2012
 |
|
Australia's
economic prosperity can be sustained with focus and
reform
Article
by CEDA Chief Executive, Professor the Hon Stephen Martin,
published in the Brisbane Economic Series, Issue Four: July
2012.
The Brisbane Economic Series is the bi-monthly online guide
to the Brisbane Economy.
|
Improving productivity in the services sector, particularly
education, health and tourism, along with reducing trade barriers
and embracing structural reform, must be priorities if Australia is
to maintain its strong economic growth.
Queensland's attributes of above-average population and economic
growth; an investment pipeline of $142 billion (AUD) in
mining and resources projects1; and close proximity to our Asian
neighbours; ensures it is well placed to capitalise on future
growth opportunities, but only if the right reform agenda is
adopted now.
While recent statistics for Australian GDP growth and employment
paint a picture of an economy on steroids, there are some lingering
questions about the current and
future contribution of various sectors to the nation's long-term
economic sustainability.
Much is still being heard about our multi-speed economy, with
genuine concerns being voiced by retailers and the manufacturing
industry about their ongoing economic viability. Wealth generation
is very much centered in the mining industry that employs only
about seven per cent of Australia's workforce.
It is generally assumed by economists and policymakers that the
current elevated terms of trade will return to more normal
conditions, while business investment will continue for several
years to support GDP. However, many of these assumptions are based
on Australia's continuing trade relationships with our Asian
neighbours, specifically in commodities, and the view that this
trade will continue at current levels.
Whilst Australia has a 'first mover' advantage in exploiting
resources, in the medium term the exploration and investment
underway elsewhere will have a major influence on both the terms of
trade and the willingness of business to continue high levels of
investment. If Australia becomes a high cost destination, it may
price itself out of future investment.
However, a renewed focus in key areas will ensure Australia can
continue to be a strong investment destination. Importantly, not
all areas require significant expenditure to reap substantial
benefits.
Australia's current economic prosperity has been supported by past
policies, primarily the reforms of the 80s and 90s, that focused
the nation on its international competitive advantage and that
focus needs to be reinvigorated.
One of the key areas of reform in this era was the pursuit of free
trade and it is here that substantial benefits could again be
delivered. Australia is currently engaged in negotiating an
additional eight free trade agreements (FTAs), with significant and
emerging trading partners including China, Japan, Indonesia and
India.
Some of these have been protracted negotiations and we should be
aiming to conclude these as quickly as possible and move
forward.
A reform agenda for our services sector, particularly in
Queensland, is also vital to ensure future economic growth and
drive change. We would only need to improve Australia's
productivity growth to around 1.5 per cent per annum (still low by
historical norms) to potentially underpin robust economic growth
for the next decade.
At the same time, continued technological advances are expanding
what constitutes tradable goods and services. While this represents
a potential opportunity for a highly educated nation such as
Australia, it also represents a potential challenge to sectors of
the economy that have not been globally integrated or exposed to
international competitive pressures in the past.
With the mining boom taking the spotlight in recent years, it is
easy to forget that the services sector provides 80 per cent of
Australia's employment.
In Queensland, health care and social assistance - a major services
sector industry - is the biggest employer and recent quarterly
statistics confirm that it is regularly the biggest employment
growth area. Jobs growth in education and skills has also been
strong in recent years.
Future employment opportunities will most likely continue to be
offered in the services sector.
A significant challenge is that this sector has historically not
exhibited high levels of productivity growth, at least not as
measured by official statistics, and has not been exposed to
productivity reforms to the same degree as other sectors of our
economy.
Export opportunities for skills and services from these and other
sectors are expected to be robust, but only if their potential is
realised through an appropriate policy mix that will help them
prepare and equip them for future competitive pressures.
We need reforms in these sectors that focus on building competitive
capability, through reviews of the tax system, workplace relations,
regulatory frameworks and
public spending.
Ensuring we have the right skills to meet demand for the jobs of
the future, must also be a priority. Skills Australia is working on
a National Workforce Development Strategy, with a discussion paper
recently released. This could not come at a better time,
particularly for a state such as Queensland.
The development of the right skills will contribute to meeting the
needs of the more than $142 billion (AUD) of mining and resource
projects. Additionally, by virtue of proximity, Queensland, and in
particular Brisbane, has a significant opportunity to provide and
export technical skills, knowledge and education and training
opportunities to other Asia Pacific countries. These will be
significant future growth areas.
Developing a long-term skills plan for Queensland is a vital
component in making sure that we can capitalise on growth sectors
that can and will contribute to Australia's future prosperity. But
that policy must ensure that the future of work is the driving
force behind this and training is focused on developing the skills
needed for our future workforce.
The tourism sector in Queensland would also benefit from a
productivity focus. We should not accept that we are a high cost
destination, and the award structure needs to be re-examined to
bring down costs to attract people back to Australia without
disadvantaging workers. A starting point should be to critically
examine infrastructure needs of the industry and current workplace
regulations.
Recognition by the business community of the need for vital
economic change helped drive public acceptance of the sweeping
reforms of the 80s and 90s. These have been a key factor in
protecting Australia from the international economic turmoil of
recent years and provides a foundation for future reform.
Australia has proven in the past that it is capable of implementing
significant economic reform and the current economic climate
provides a real opportunity to once again drive an economic reform
agenda with a long-term vision.Improving productivity in the
services sector, particularly education, health and tourism, along
with reducing trade barriers and embracing structural reform, must
be priorities if Australia is to maintain its strong economic
growth.
Queensland's attributes of above-average population and economic
growth; an investment pipeline of $142 billion (AUD) in
mining and resources projects1; and close proximity to our Asian
neighbours; ensures it is well placed to capitalise on future
growth opportunities, but only if the right reform agenda is
adopted now.
While recent statistics for Australian GDP growth and employment
paint a picture of an economy on steroids, there are some lingering
questions about the current and
future contribution of various sectors to the nation's long-term
economic sustainability.
Much is still being heard about our multi-speed economy, with
genuine concerns being voiced by retailers and the manufacturing
industry about their ongoing economic viability. Wealth generation
is very much centered in the mining industry that employs only
about seven per cent of Australia's workforce.
It is generally assumed by economists and policymakers that the
current elevated terms of trade will return to more normal
conditions, while business investment will continue for several
years to support GDP. However, many of these assumptions are based
on Australia's continuing trade relationships with our Asian
neighbours, specifically in commodities, and the view that this
trade will continue at current levels.
Whilst Australia has a 'first mover' advantage in exploiting
resources, in the medium term the exploration and investment
underway elsewhere will have a major influence on both the terms of
trade and the willingness of business to continue high levels of
investment. If Australia becomes a high cost destination, it may
price itself out of future investment.
However, a renewed focus in key areas will ensure Australia can
continue to be a strong investment destination. Importantly, not
all areas require significant expenditure to reap substantial
benefits.
Australia's current economic prosperity has been supported by past
policies, primarily the reforms of the 80s and 90s, that focused
the nation on its international competitive advantage and that
focus needs to be reinvigorated.
One of the key areas of reform in this era was the pursuit of free
trade and it is here that substantial benefits could again be
delivered. Australia is currently engaged in negotiating an
additional eight free trade agreements (FTAs), with significant and
emerging trading partners including China, Japan, Indonesia and
India.
Some of these have been protracted negotiations and we should be
aiming to conclude these as quickly as possible and move
forward.
A reform agenda for our services sector, particularly in
Queensland, is also vital to ensure future economic growth and
drive change. We would only need to improve Australia's
productivity growth to around 1.5 per cent per annum (still low by
historical norms) to potentially underpin robust economic growth
for the next decade.
At the same time, continued technological advances are expanding
what constitutes tradable goods and services. While this represents
a potential opportunity for a highly educated nation such as
Australia, it also represents a potential challenge to sectors of
the economy that have not been globally integrated or exposed to
international competitive pressures in the past.
With the mining boom taking the spotlight in recent years, it is
easy to forget that the services sector provides 80 per cent of
Australia's employment.
In Queensland, health care and social assistance - a major services
sector industry - is the biggest employer and recent quarterly
statistics confirm that it is regularly the biggest employment
growth area. Jobs growth in education and skills has also been
strong in recent years.
Future employment opportunities will most likely continue to be
offered in the services sector.
A significant challenge is that this sector has historically not
exhibited high levels of productivity growth, at least not as
measured by official statistics, and has not been exposed to
productivity reforms to the same degree as other sectors of our
economy.
Export opportunities for skills and services from these and other
sectors are expected to be robust, but only if their potential is
realised through an appropriate policy mix that will help them
prepare and equip them for future competitive pressures.
We need reforms in these sectors that focus on building competitive
capability, through reviews of the tax system, workplace relations,
regulatory frameworks and
public spending.
Ensuring we have the right skills to meet demand for the jobs of
the future, must also be a priority. Skills Australia is working on
a National Workforce Development Strategy, with a discussion paper
recently released. This could not come at a better time,
particularly for a state such as Queensland.
The development of the right skills will contribute to meeting the
needs of the more than $142 billion (AUD) of mining and resource
projects. Additionally, by virtue of proximity, Queensland, and in
particular Brisbane, has a significant opportunity to provide and
export technical skills, knowledge and education and training
opportunities to other Asia Pacific countries. These will be
significant future growth areas.
Developing a long-term skills plan for Queensland is a vital
component in making sure that we can capitalise on growth sectors
that can and will contribute to Australia's future prosperity. But
that policy must ensure that the future of work is the driving
force behind this and training is focused on developing the skills
needed for our future workforce.
The tourism sector in Queensland would also benefit from a
productivity focus. We should not accept that we are a high cost
destination, and the award structure needs to be re-examined to
bring down costs to attract people back to Australia without
disadvantaging workers. A starting point should be to critically
examine infrastructure needs of the industry and current workplace
regulations.
Recognition by the business community of the need for vital
economic change helped drive public acceptance of the sweeping
reforms of the 80s and 90s. These have been a key factor in
protecting Australia from the international economic turmoil of
recent years and provides a foundation for future reform.
Australia has proven in the past that it is capable of implementing
significant economic reform and the current economic climate
provides a real opportunity to once again drive an economic reform
agenda with a long-term vision.
Improving productivity in the services sector, particularly
education, health and tourism, along with reducing trade barriers
and embracing structural reform, must be priorities if Australia is
to maintain its strong economic growth.
Queensland's attributes of above-average population and economic
growth; an investment pipeline of $142 billion (AUD) in
mining and resources projects1; and close proximity to our Asian
neighbours; ensures it is well placed to capitalise on future
growth opportunities, but only if the right reform agenda is
adopted now.
While recent statistics for Australian GDP growth and employment
paint a picture of an economy on steroids, there are some lingering
questions about the current and future contribution of various
sectors to the nation's long-term economic sustainability.
Much is still being heard about our multi-speed economy, with
genuine concerns being voiced by retailers and the manufacturing
industry about their ongoing economic viability. Wealth generation
is very much centered in the mining industry that employs only
about seven per cent of Australia's workforce.
It is generally assumed by economists and policymakers that the
current elevated terms of trade will return to more normal
conditions, while business investment will continue for several
years to support GDP. However, many of these assumptions are
based on Australia's continuing trade relationships with our Asian
neighbours, specifically in commodities, and the view that this
trade will continue at current levels.
Whilst Australia has a 'first mover' advantage in exploiting
resources, in the medium term the exploration and investment
underway elsewhere will have a major influence on both the terms of
trade and the willingness of business to continue high levels of
investment. If Australia becomes a high cost destination, it may
price itself out of future investment.
However, a renewed focus in key areas will ensure Australia can
continue to be a strong investment destination. Importantly, not
all areas require significant expenditure to reap substantial
benefits.
Australia's current economic prosperity has been supported by
past policies, primarily the reforms of the 80s and 90s, that
focused the nation on its international competitive advantage and
that focus needs to be reinvigorated.
One of the key areas of reform in this era was the pursuit of
free trade and it is here that substantial benefits could again be
delivered. Australia is currently engaged in negotiating an
additional eight free trade agreements (FTAs), with significant and
emerging trading partners including China, Japan, Indonesia and
India.
Some of these have been protracted negotiations and we should be
aiming to conclude these as quickly as possible and move
forward.
A reform agenda for our services sector, particularly in
Queensland, is also vital to ensure future economic growth and
drive change. We would only need to improve Australia's
productivity growth to around 1.5 per cent per annum (still low by
historical norms) to potentially underpin robust economic growth
for the next decade.
At the same time, continued technological advances are expanding
what constitutes tradable goods and services. While this represents
a potential opportunity for a highly educated nation such as
Australia, it also represents a potential challenge to sectors of
the economy that have not been globally integrated or exposed to
international competitive pressures in the past.
With the mining boom taking the spotlight in recent years, it is
easy to forget that the services sector provides 80 per cent of
Australia's employment.
In Queensland, health care and social assistance - a major
services sector industry - is the biggest employer and recent
quarterly statistics confirm that it is regularly the biggest
employment growth area. Jobs growth in education and skills has
also been strong in recent years.
Future employment opportunities will most likely continue to be
offered in the services sector.
A significant challenge is that this sector has historically not
exhibited high levels of productivity growth, at least not as
measured by official statistics, and has not been exposed to
productivity reforms to the same degree as other sectors of our
economy.
Export opportunities for skills and services from these and
other sectors are expected to be robust, but only if their
potential is realised through an appropriate policy mix that will
help them prepare and equip them for future competitive
pressures.
We need reforms in these sectors that focus on building
competitive capability, through reviews of the tax system,
workplace relations, regulatory frameworks and public spending.
Ensuring we have the right skills to meet demand for the jobs of
the future, must also be a priority. Skills Australia is working on
a National Workforce Development Strategy, with a discussion paper
recently released. This could not come at a better time,
particularly for a state such as Queensland.
The development of the right skills will contribute to meeting
the needs of the more than $142 billion (AUD) of mining and
resource projects. Additionally, by virtue of proximity,
Queensland, and in particular Brisbane, has a significant
opportunity to provide and export technical skills, knowledge and
education and training opportunities to other Asia Pacific
countries. These will be significant future growth areas.
Developing a long-term skills plan for Queensland is a vital
component in making sure that we can capitalise on growth sectors
that can and will contribute to Australia's future prosperity. But
that policy must ensure that the future of work is the driving
force behind this and training is focused on developing the skills
needed for our future workforce.
The tourism sector in Queensland would also benefit from a
productivity focus. We should not accept that we are a high cost
destination, and the award structure needs to be re-examined to
bring down costs to attract people back to Australia without
disadvantaging workers. A starting point should be to critically
examine infrastructure needs of the industry and current workplace
regulations.
Recognition by the business community of the need for vital
economic change helped drive public acceptance of the sweeping
reforms of the 80s and 90s. These have been a key factor in
protecting Australia from the international economic turmoil of
recent years and provides a foundation for future reform.
Australia has proven in the past that it is capable of
implementing significant economic reform and the current economic
climate provides a real opportunity to once again drive an economic
reform agenda with a long-term vision.
Download
pdf - Brisbane Economic Series, Issue Four
This article was published on 30 July 2012 on http://www.investbrisbane.com.au/
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