There is a serious backlog in infrastructure investment, in water, energy and land transport, estimated conservatively at $25 billion, which requires immediate attention
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Infrastructure
Infrastructure development and the effective engagement of
private public partnerships (PPPs)
Infrastructure is priority topic for CEDA, given the backlogs,
complexities, risks and regulatory processes that can characterise
infrastructure investment. A recent example of the challenge to the
PPP model has arisen because of the effective closure of private
and international debt markets post the GFC in September 2008 and
the only gradual opening since that time. This made private sector
finance contributions to PPPs problematical. On the positive front,
and as shown with the desalination plant PPP in Melbourne, there
are transitional models where a higher proportion of risk is taken
by government, and where subsequent capital gains are captured by
government when projects are transferred into private
infrastructure funds. This example that CEDA Research has advanced
demonstrates that well structured infrastructure PPPs can in fact
be debt-reducing once refinance occurs at lower capital
costs, despite government initiating expenditure and taking
construction risk.
There are, however, many cautions regarding PPPs. When the
project preparation is not to the standard required, when poor
projects are selected or when there is careless project evaluation
of no cost-benefit analysis, there is well-demonstrated scope for
poor PPPs and other forms of government investment or privatisation
to fail, worsening debt situations and leaving the government
exposed. CEDA looks to facilitate policy and planning dialogues in
this area as Australia tackles what is widely deemed to be a
backlog in infrastructure. In addition there is a further need for
investment in infrastructure as population expands in metropolitan
areas and as our resources sector continues to grow, backed by
strong long-term demand from China and India for our mineral
resources.
Much of Australia's infrastructure is at a crossroads. Following
two decades of under-investment, vital elements of the nation's
infrastructure are in serious disrepair, if not crisis. A major
piece of research from CEDA was instrumental in elevating the issue
on the national agenda.