Economic and Political Outlook 2021

CEDA’s 2021 Economic and Political Outlook (EPO) report examines why governments should seize opportunities that deliver long-term economic and social benefits to secure Australia’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.


  • Political outlook: Phillip Coorey, Political Editor, Australian Financial Review
  • Domestic economic outlook: Alan Oster, Group Chief Economist, NAB
  • Policy outlook: Cassandra Winzar, Senior Economist, CEDA
  • International economic outlook: Richard Yetsenga, Chief Economist and Head of Research, ANZ Banking Group

About the 2021 report

CEDA’s Economic and Political Outlook (EPO) 2021 provides valuable analysis to help policy makers and business respond to critical issues.

2020 was a year of rapid and agile policy development in Australia. It brought twists and turns in decision-making as governments responded to a crisis that remains with us in 2021, as nations keep working to contain the COVID-19 pandemic.  

Despite periodic virus outbreaks around the country continuing into early 2021, confidence has rebounded and economic activity is rising. A rapid and widespread vaccine rollout will be crucial to maintaining this momentum.  In 2021, everything will flow from this.

Other issues that are explored in the 2021 Economic and Political Overview include the unwinding of COVID stimulus packages and what happens next,  Australia's relationship with the US and China, and climate change. 

About the Economic and Political Outlook

CEDA's Economic and Political Outlook is Australia's premier publication and series of events held in Australia's capital cities and major regional centres, focussing on the Australian economy and politics for the year ahead.

Running for 40 years, the EPO brings together political, economic and business leaders and provides CEDA members with business intelligence on the environment they will be operating in over the next 12 months. 

Report launch: interactive livestream

CEDA’s annual EPO presents expert analysis of critical issues, the latest forecasts and timely analysis on both the domestic and international front for the coming year.

The 2021 report was launched when leading national economists and political commentators presented a detailed domestic economic and political outlook for 2021, followed by with an international economic overview and predictions on what 2021 holds for Australia's key relationships with the United States and China.

Watch highlights and catch up with the discussion

TPP key to deepening economic ties between US and Indo-Pacific: Sinodinos

Keynote speaker: Australian Ambassador to the United States, the Hon. Arthur Sinodinos AO.

EPO 2021: Prime Minister Morrison likely to hold next federal election in 2022

Speakers: Australian Financial Review Political Editor, Phillip Coorey; Sky News AM Agenda Host, Laura Jayes; Network 10 Political Editor and Professor of Politics at Griffith University and University of Western Australia, Dr Peter van Onselen; and ABC RN Breakfast Presenter, Fran Kelly, for a discussion on the state of Australian politics. 

EPO 2021: Business spending plans at 30-year low despite consumer optimism

Speakers: NAB Chief Economist, Alan Oster and Social Outcomes Economics Consultant Nicki Hutley. 

EPO 2021: Global economic recovery “quickest we have ever seen”

ANZ Banking Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga; Australian National University, Australian Centre on China in the World Director Professor Jane Golley; Griffith Asia Institute Director Professor Caitlin Byrne; and Asialink Business Chief Executive Officer Mukund Narayanamurti and Reuters Australia and Pacific Correspondent Kirsty Needham.