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Duty of care: How to fix the aged care worker shortage calls for more action to be taken to address Australia’s shortage of aged care workers. It recommends that the Federal Government introduce an essential skills visa for occupations facing severe and ongoing worker shortages in the care sector, starting with aged care. This report contributes to the wellbeing, security & participation focus area of CEDA’s Progress 2050 vision for a better future for the next generation of Australians.
CEDA has previously shown Australia will require at least 400,000 additional workers across residential and in-home aged care by 2050 to meet growing demand. There has not been enough progress to close this gap. This is a long-term challenge that requires a bold response.
The solution to the shortage is multifaceted. Australia must build a sustainable domestic pipeline of aged care workers as a priority. But this alone will not be enough. We must also continue to explore how to optimise migration to sustainably grow the sector's workforce. Given the size of the shortages, it is not feasible to meet demand through domestic training and hiring alone.
The Federal Government acknowledged the strong role migration plays in the sector in its 2023 Migration Strategy, committing to looking at an essential skills visa pathway for lower wage migrant workers in sectors with critical workforce shortages, such as personal care workers in aged care. CEDA advocated for such a visa in its submission to the Migration Review. There has been no noticeable progress on this pathway.
The Government has sought to respond to the need via labour agreements, initially through company-specific agreements and then by introducing the Aged Care Industry Labour Agreement (ACILA), which covers three key occupations: nursing support worker, personal care assistant and aged or disabled carer.
These agreements aren’t bringing in anywhere near enough workers to fill the gap and do not meet the underlying need for a new visa pathway. We estimate that in the June quarter of this year, less than four per cent of temporary migrants in these occupations were in Australia on a labour agreement.
Most migrant workers continue to come into the sector as sideways entrants. The vast majority of migrant workers in the occupations covered by the agreement came to Australia on temporary visas for other purposes, such as student, partner or working holiday visas.
We’ve found providers are using labour agreements to retain a small number of existing staff already in the country, rather than increasing the overall number of workers in the sector by attracting additional staff from overseas.
The ACILA is not meeting the needs of the sector – it is not bringing in enough workers to meet demand. Consultation with industry also suggests there is unlikely to be a significant increase in uptake of the scheme.
This approach must change if we are to meet the aged care needs of the future.
This is not a short-term problem in need of a temporary fix. It is long-term in nature. We need to pull all levers, including migration, to increase the workforce.
The Government should pursue an essential skills visa for aged care workers as a priority.

Author
Tim Kane
Senior Economist
Tim Kane
Senior Economist